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Economic Outlook

Transportation Money Is on the Move  

By Anirban Basu



The U.S. Department of Transportation’s (DOT) progress report on the first 100 days of the Obama administration was encouraging: Of the $48.1 billion in economic recovery funding provided to the DOT (6 percent of total stimulus package funding), more than $9.3 billion had been obligated by states, transit systems and airports, and more than 2,500 projects had been selected.

The first stimulus-funded project, resurfacing Maryland Route 650, is supporting 22 jobs, while the 2,000th project to rebuild a $68 million interchange on I-94 in Portage, Mich., is generating 900 jobs. Overall, the administration estimates the $27.5 billion highway portion of the stimulus package will create or sustain 150,000 jobs.

Investment and spending momentum continues to build. Data collected by the DOT indicate that during the first six weeks after the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 became law, 4,300 highway and bridge projects—including those not funded by the stimulus package—were advanced for construction utilizing federal funds. By contrast, in 2008, only 2,600 projects were advanced during a typical six-week period.

Texas Transportation InstituteThe largest transportation project to begin this year is an $8.7 billion rail tunnel into New York City that is expected to trim 40 minutes from the time it takes New Jersey commuters to reach Manhattan. According to The Wall Street Journal, the 8.8-mile tunnel under the Hudson River will require the removal of 2 million cubic yards of rock and soil, approximately one-third as much as the Hoover Dam, and will take eight years to construct. According to New Jersey Gov. Jon -Corzine, the project “has the added value of creating 6,000 new jobs day in and day out for the next six to seven years.”

The DOT also reports that nearly all of the $1.1 billion in airport grants-in-aid have been approved for more than 250 airport infrastructure projects across the nation.

For its part, Amtrak has received $1.3 billion in capital grants that will enhance service by replacing obsolete bridges, modernizing electrical power, rehabilitating train stations and improving safety across the United States.  

Public Policy Considerations
Beyond job creation and greater transit efficiency, this spending has the potential to advance several public policy objectives, such as environmental responsibility. According to the Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Department of Energy, roughly 30 percent of the nation’s greenhouse gas emissions are produced by mobile sources, with private vehicles representing the largest contributor to household carbon footprints. As the world’s largest energy consumer and greenhouse gas emitter, America’s investment in improving transportation infrastructure stands to benefit a variety of commercial and environmental interests.


Additionally, the Texas Transportation Institute’s 2007 Urban Mobility Report found that in 2005, 4.2 billion hours in travel delays required 2.9 billion gallons of additional fuel to be used per year. This foregone fuel and time translated into a total congestion cost of $78.2 billion in 2005—$5.1 billion higher than a year earlier.

In 2005, drivers in 28 metropolitan areas experienced 40 or more hours of delay per year; 23 years earlier, only Los Angeles experienced that level of congestion and resulting delays. If these trends continue, Americans can expect to spend 160 hours—or four workweeks—each year in traffic congestion by 2035, according to the American Road & Transportation Builders Association.

The situation is exacerbated by the fact that gas prices in 2008 and 2009 were much higher than in 2005 (with the exception of the period immediately following Hurricane Katrina). According to the Federal Highway Administration, vehicle miles traveled have expanded three times faster than the U.S. population in recent years and twice as fast as vehicle registrations. Publicly financed investment simply has not been able to keep up with the expansion in service demand.

Further, the nation’s population is expected to increase from approximately 306 million today to 420 million by 2050, and freight volumes are anticipated to grow by 70 percent by 2020. Simply put, the future demands on the intermodal surface transportation network will require significant investment. The stimulus package is only the beginning.

On a related note, this also is an excellent time for the government to purchase construction services. According to the DOT, contractor bids across the nation are coming in 15 percent to 20 percent below estimated costs. Colorado reports bids as much as 30 percent below estimates, and California indicates some contractors are offering to supply work at half of the -projected cost. Some of the savings is likely due to falling construction materials- prices. However, much of it can be linked to the lack of available work among contractors that are eager to remain fully engaged.

Ultimately, these cost savings will translate into funding for additional projects.  


Anirban Basu is chief economist of Associated Builders and Contractors.

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